Wednesday, March 26, 2008

The Architecture of Self-Measurement

Taken from BLDGBLOG: The Architecture of Self-Measurement
I first read this book way back in middle school – and there is a point to all this, so bear with me. I then re-read it, borrowing it from a friend out of sheer desperation for anything published in English, living abroad for the first time about ten years ago – and I was genuinely stunned to find that the book said literally the exact opposite of what I'd remembered it saying. It was like being confronted with a distorting mirror, or an old set of photographs – a very visceral, even embarrassing, way of realizing how much a person might change. Given time, how different are your sources of significance.
The idea here is that you'd pick a building somewhere in the world, something outside your normal sphere of experience, and you'd visit it every few years. [...] You show up; you've set the whole day aside, like going to see a very long film. Or running a marathon. And you proceed to ride the elevators and escalators. You sit down at certain windows. You stand there in the corner just looking around. You go into rooms you once knew.
Maybe I've been reading too much TraderFeed lately, or just channeling Dr. Brett, but I can't help but relate this to investing as well. And I mean investing as a whole universe of opportunity: beginning with amateur knowledge of mutual funds and bonds, moving to equities; exploring derivatives, commodities, forex, and then on to advanced strategies of spreads, arbitrage, Black-Scholes; venture capital, private placements, real estate, etc. etc.

Mutual funds just don't seem that advantageous anymore. Executing strangles, and condors, and reading the greeks just become second nature. You force yourself to develope and trade on new strategies, new analysis, new products.

As Dr. Brett mentions in Enhancing Trader Performance, self-evalutation is arguably the most important aspect of learning and growing as an investor. You have to be the architect of your self-measurement.

Monday, March 17, 2008

Iran crude going to Switzerland

I wonder how involved Marc Rich was with this.
Swiss energy giant EGL is set to sign a 25-year deal in Teheran on Monday to buy 5.5 billion cubic meters of Iranian natural gas per year, starting in 2011, for a reported €18 billion.

Sunday, March 16, 2008

Sunday, Bloody Sunday

I can't imagine what is going through the mind of Joe Lewis right now. Lewis spent nearly $900 million amassing an 8% stake in BSC late last year. I think the whole thing is somewhat ironic, considering today's news, and the following from the UK Times article:
Mr Lewis’s investment came to light as Jamie Dimon, the chief executive of JPMorgan, said that he foresaw “a huge amount of big [banking] mergers in the US and Germany” in the wake of multibillion losses on mortgage-backed securities.
And from Bloomberg:
Shareholders of New York-based Bear Stearns will get stock in JPMorgan equivalent to about $2 a share, compared with $30 at the close on March 14, the two companies said in a statement today. The U.S. Federal Reserve will provide financing for the transaction, including support for as much as $30 billion of Bear Stearns's ``less-liquid assets.''
I think Mr. Dimon was on to something.